Tropical Weather Outlook

 
  • NHC Atlantic Outlook

    Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
    Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


    ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Humberto, located about 500 miles west of Bermuda, on Tropical
    Depression Ten, located more than 1000 miles east of the Leeward
    Islands, and on newly formed Tropical Storm Imelda, located
    near Freeport, Texas.

    1. A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
    on Thursday. Some gradual development will be possible over the
    weekend while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

    Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under
    WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under
    WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

    Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Imelda are issued under WMO
    header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Imelda are issued under WMO
    header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

    Forecaster Stewart


  • NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook

    Eastern North Pacific 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
    Eastern North Pacific 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


    ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 17 2019

    For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Kiko, located over the southwestern part of the basin, on newly
    formed Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred
    miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula,
    and on newly formed Tropical Storm Lorena, located a few hundred
    miles south-southeast of Zihuatanejo, Mexico.

    1. Disorganized cloudiness and showers located just west of Central
    America are associated with a trough of low pressure. Gradual
    development of this system is anticipated during the next several
    days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while
    the wave moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
    Locally heavy rainfall is possible along the coasts of El Salvador,
    Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next few days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

    Public Advisories on Fourteen-E are issued under WMO header
    WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
    Forecast/Advisories on Fourteen-E are issued under WMO header
    WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

    Public Advisories on Lorena are issued under WMO header
    WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
    Forecast/Advisories on Lorena are issued under WMO header
    WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

    Forecaster Blake


  • CPHC Central North Pacific Outlook

    Central North Pacific 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
    Central North Pacific 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


    ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
    TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
    800 AM HST Tue Sep 17 2019

    For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

    1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
    about 550 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii have become better
    organized over the past 12 hours. Environmental conditions are
    expected to be marginally conducive for some development over the
    next 24 hours as the system moves toward the northwest. By late
    Wednesday or Thursday, environmental conditions will become less
    conducive for development as the low interacts with another
    disturbance approaching from the west. Regardless of development,
    this system is expected to bring locally gusty winds and heavy rain
    to portions of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument over
    the next several days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

    2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
    pressure, located about 900 miles west-southwest of Kauai,
    continues to remain disorganized. This system is expected to
    slowly move northeast into unfavorable environmental conditions.
    Development, if any, will be slow to occur. Regardless of
    development, this system is expected to bring locally gusty winds
    and heavy rain to portions of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National
    Monument over the next several days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

    3. An elongated area of low pressure lies around 700 miles southeast of
    the Big Island of Hawaii. Slow development is possible during the
    next several days while the area slowly moves westward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

    Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.

    Forecaster TS


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