• Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 192319
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
    downgraded Tropical Depression Harvey, located over the central
    Caribbean Sea.

    Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized near a trough of low
    pressure located a couple of hundred miles north of the northern
    Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions are not expected to be
    conducive for development of this system during the next couple of
    days while it moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Conditions
    could become slightly more conducive for development once the system
    is near the northern Bahamas or Florida around the middle of next
    week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

    A tropical wave located about a thousand miles east of the Lesser
    Antilles is producing a large area of cloudiness but limited
    showers and thunderstorms. The wave is currently embedded in a
    dry air mass, and upper-level winds are expected to become too
    strong to support development in a couple of days. Therefore,
    tropical cyclone formation is not likely while this system moves
    northwestward at about 15 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
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